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When will Kentucky and Indiana see the first snowflakes of the year? It could be soon

For several days, the longer-range weather models have been hinting at a colder, more winter-like pattern late next week, with potentially some flurries.
Credit: WHAS11

LOUISVILLE, Ky. — Signs of the first potential snowflakes in Kentucky and southern Indiana are showing up in the long-range weather model data. 

For several days now, the GFS, European, and Canadian weather models have been showing a much colder pattern taking shape late next week, with perhaps a little light wintry precipitation as well.  

Get the latest WHAS11 Weather Impact Team forecast.

It's about that time of year anyway, as the region typically sees its first flurries or trace of snowfall around Nov. 15. 

Don't expect to see a lot though, the first "measurable" snow in Kentuckiana typically doesn't come until December.

More significant snowfall tends to hold off until January. 

Credit: WHAS11

What's in the forecast?

The WHAS11 Weather Impact team's Futurecast maps indicate the potential for light wintry precipitation in our region around midday next Thursday, Nov. 21.  

This is certainly only a "chance" of wintry weather, definitely not a guarantee, as the forecast is subject to change between now and then. 

Credit: WHAS11 Weather Impact
The GFS Model indicates Kentucky and southern Indiana could see its first snow flurries next week. | Nov. 15, 2024
Credit: WHAS11 Weather Impact
The EURO Model shows a more wintry-mix of precipitation next week. | Nov. 15, 2024

Bundle up next week!

Expect above normal temperatures in the forecast through next Tuesday, with possibly lower 70s Tuesday afternoon. but temperatures begin to fall Wednesday, with winter-like temperatures likely on Thursday. 

Not only will it be cold, it could be windy as well, putting our wind chills down to the 30s Thursday afternoon and 20s Thursday night into Friday morning. 

Credit: WHAS11 Weather Impact
A warm weather pattern will hold on in Kentucky and southern Indiana through Tuesday. | Nov. 15, 2024
Credit: WHAS11 Weather Impact
By Thursday morning, the jet stream will dip south opening the door to colder Canadian air. | Nov. 15, 2024

"Feels like" temperatures will also drop on Thursday! So stay warm and bundled up.

Credit: WHAS11
Credit: WHAS11

Cold air building up north

While our weather pattern has been mild all autumn, colder air has been developing north of the border.  

Here's a look at the Friday, Nov. 15 temperatures currently up in Canada. We just need the jet stream to take that dive, and open the door to that colder air!

Credit: WHAS11

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